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Announcement November 15, 2018

Experts to Discuss El Nino, Atmospheric Rivers and Long-Range Weather Forecasting Dec. 5 in Irvine
Agenda now online for ‘Water Year 2019: Feast or Famine’ workshop

Flooded farm propertyForecasters are usually on the mark when predicting what tomorrow’s weather will bring. But can we ever get accurate precipitation forecasts — critical for managing water supplies — weeks to months in advance?

At Water Year 2019: Feast or Famine, a one-day workshop Dec. 5 in Irvine, scientists from NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, the Western Regional Climate Center and the California Department of Water Resources will offer insights into the latest research on improving long-range weather forecasting and what it means for water management.

The workshop agenda, highlighting the topics and key speakers, is now online.

Among the speakers:

  • Mike DeFlorio, a researcher with Scripps, will highlight experimental short-term forecasting of atmospheric rivers, which are critical to building California’s annual water supply.  
  • Ben Hatchett, an assistant research professor at the Western Regional Climate Center in Reno, Nev., will address whether El Niño-Southern Oscillation is washed up as a winter predictor.
  • And Duane Waliser, a senior research scientist at NASA JPL, will offer a big-picture look at long-range forecasting research.

Bringing together research meteorologists and climate scientists, the event also will feature current information about winter blocking conditions as well as preliminary research for the Colorado River Basin, which has been suffering through nearly two decades of dry conditions.

Click here for more information and to register.

This special event is sponsored by the California Department of Water Resources and the Water Education Foundation in partnership with the Scripps Institution of Oceanography and NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

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Foundation Events (1)
Foundation Event December 5, 2018 - 8:30am - 2:30pm Learn What’s in Store for Water Year 2019 at Dec. 5 Workshop in Irvine Experts to Discuss El Nino, Atmospheric Rivers and Long-Range Weather Forecasting Dec. 5 in Irvine Can El Niño Tell Us Anything About What’s Ahead for Water Year 2019?

Water Year 2019: Feast or Famine?
Dec. 5th workshop in Irvine focused on ability to predict winter precipitation

The Carr Fire devastated land around Keswick Dam, nine miles downstream of Shasta Dam on the Sacramento RiverThe Carr Fire devastated the area around Keswick Dam, nine miles downstream of Shasta Dam on the Sacramento River“Dry, hot and on fire” is how the California Department of Water Resources described Water Year 2018 in a recent report.

Water Year 2018 – from Oct. 1, 2017 to Sept. 30, 2018 - marked a return to dry conditions statewide following an exceptionally wet 2017, according to DWR’s Water Year 2018 report. But 2017 was exceptional as all but two of the water years in the past decade experienced drought.

Was Water Year 2018 simply a single dry year or does it signal the beginning of another drought? And what can reliably be said about the prospects for Water Year 2019? Does El Niño really mean anything for California or is it all washed up as a predictor?

Attendees found out at this one-day event Dec. 5 in Irvine, Water Year 2019: Feast or Famine?

Eventbrite - Water Year 2019: Feast or Famine?

Beckman Center
Auditorium - Huntington Room
100 Academy Way
Irvine, California 92617
View map
  • Workshop Agenda
  • Jeanine Jones - Expectations Presentation
  • Duane Waliser - The Big Picture: National and International Research on Predicting Precipitation Weeks to Months Ahead
  • Ben Hatchett - El Nino - Southern Oscillation all Washed up as a Predictor?
  • Jonathan Rutz - Understanding the Skill of Present National Weather Services Outlooks
  • Mike Anderson - DWR Investments in Improving Forecasts at all Timescales
  • Ben Hatchett - Prelimiary Work on Precipitation in the Colorado River Basin
  • Mike DeFlorio - Experimental Short-Term Forecasting of Atmospheric River Storms
  • Peter Gibson - Experimental Forecasting of Winter Blocking/Ridging Conditions
  • Mike Anderson - So What CAN We Say About Water Year 2019?
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