October first marks the official start of California’s water year and local prediction centers, including the Department of Water Resources and National Weather Service in Hanford say long range forecasts could have a mixture of multiple patterns. ”So, as far as El Nino, it’s about a 20% chance we might see that for April, May, and into June. So it’s still a 20% chance, so it still could go back up to El Nino, but, the highest chances right now, near 70%, is for a neutral pattern,” explains Emily Wilson, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Hanford.