… Climatologists are forecasting a 71% chance of another La Niña this fall, which could lead to more drought conditions and potentially higher-than-normal wildfire danger. … While the latest data suggests that a La Niña may impact us, it remains unclear whether it will be a weak or moderate one. … [Bill Patzert, research scientist and oceanographer with NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory] predicted that the best-case scenario is that we get a series of spaced-out storms over the next few months. So, even if rainfall is below normal again, if it’s spread out, and any potential fuels are damp enough, we won’t see another round of major wildfires this season.

Other rain and drought news around the West:

• Ventura County Star (Camarillo, Calif.): Here’s what a second straight year of La Niña means for Ventura County’s fire season
• The New York Times: Priscilla expected to bring heavy rain to the Southwest United States
• The Arizona Republic (Phoenix): Arizona monsoon season 2025 brings drenching rain, walls of dust