… La Niña conditions are likely from September 2025 through January 2026. NOAA’s official probabilistic ENSO forecast indicates a greater than 50% chance for La Niña during this period. Precipitation and temperature related to La Niña, combined with the La Niña forecast and current drought conditions, suggest drought persistence in the Southwest United States. … La Niña conditions are forecast in late 2025 and early 2026, which increases the chances for below-average precipitation and above-average temperatures in the Southwest, Southeast, Southern California, and Texas.

Other drought news around the West:

• KSL (Salt Lake City, Utah): Utah posts sixth-warmest, 18th-driest summer on record. These counties had it worse
• Arizona Republic (Phoenix, Ariz.): Drought hurts quail population, but state maintains hunt
• Steamboat Pilot & Today (Steamboat Springs, Colo.): After a hot, dry summer, reservoir levels across Colorado are below average